In October, Population Increases Outpaced Job Creation

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By Joe Guzzardi

Joe is a CAPS Senior Writing Fellow whose commentaries about California's social issues have run in newspapers throughout California and the country for nearly 30 years. Contact Joe at joeguzzardi@capsweb.org, or find him on Twitter @joeguzzardi19.

The writer's views are his own.

November 18, 2016

President-elect Donald Trump’s repeated promises to create jobs, and bring unemployed and under-employed Americans back into the fold resonated strongly with disenfranchised voters, and helped put him in the White House.

Bad combination: More people, fewer jobs.

Coincidentally, the October Bureau of Labor Statistics Household Survey released just days before the election underlined American workers’ plights, and showed why voters gave Trump an election-winning late boost at the polling place. While the traditional BLS payroll survey showed that the economy created 161,000 jobs, the under-the-radar household analysis showed a dramatically different and truer picture, in part because it includes a population equation. See the Household data here, page 4.

The establishment survey, the one the mainstream media touts, found the 161,000 October jobs, but the Household report revealed that 200,000 people were added to the 18-to-64 working age population. Currently, 94.6 million Americans 16 or older are not attached to the labor force, a stunning 37 percent of that demographic.

Other data indicated similarly bleak employment levels for blacks and Hispanics. Since 2000, working age blacks detached from the labor force have grown to 7.2 million from 4.9 million. During the same period, working age Hispanics not in the labor force increased from 2.3 million to 4.9 million.

The tenth point in President-elect Trump’s 10-point immigration plan is to reform legal immigration so that it works in Americans’ best interests. Each legal immigrant is work authorized, and with the U.S. averaging about 1 million immigrants annually since 2000, deep cuts are necessary to restore the balance between jobs available and job seekers.

Go to the CAPS Action Alert page here to tell Donald Trump that you stand with him on immigration enforcement and overall immigration reductions.

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